I am advised that our net debt, as a proportion of GDP, is at its highest level since the Napoleonic war and the Second World War. At least then we had the excuse that we have saved Europe from domination by Napoleon and the world from domination by Hitler. Now we are here as a simple consequence of Government incompetence and profligacy.
Even now, Labour does not get it. We will not get out of trouble by trying to tax the rich (whoever they are) and giving bribes to the less well off. The world is a different place from the 1970’s, when Labour last tried to increase tax rates. The bankers will get around the 50% tax on bonuses. Business owners will simply reduce income until the top rate of tax falls. Others may well emigrate from the UK so that we get nothing at all. The reality is that people are much more mobile these days and more people can change their tax jurisdiction, if they so wish.
As usual, the Government have exacerbated the problem by their own actions. By having a low rate of capital gains tax of 18%, they have given a much needed boost to the off-shore tax avoidance industry and, indeed, there will be plenty of schemes on UK soil to convert income into capital.
There will be plenty of work for me to do over the coming months but I am still fearful about where this country is going under this shower (that’s the Government, not the weather).









