Lambert Chapman LLP’s Nick Forsyth reviews the 2009 Budget

I feel for Alistair Darling. No, I really do. After Blackadder Goes Forth one gets an image in ones mind when his surname is mentioned and his eyebrows attract unnecessary attention before we think about his job as Chancellor of the Exchequer. It’s always difficult to follow a great predecessor (although Bob Paisley did a reasonable job of it) but to follow a fool should be a straightforward task unless he remains your Boss, survived far too long in your current job and wasted all the money he took by whatever stealth method used.

Mr Darling’s job is to get Labour to the next election and do what he can to get his Boss past the post in first position. It really is a tough one! To hamper his main opponent he uses the guile of a higher tax rate in an effort to make them commit tax  plans and then looks to continue spending money to keep his voters in work for as long as possible. Can it work? Possibly it can but these days the electorate, or those of them who can bother to use the vote might be a little less niave than in the past, though I understand a donkey wearing a red rose was elected in the now defunct Dunfermline East in June 1983.

 

Over the years I’ve met many a board who are floating overambitious with their income and growth projections but spot on with the costs. Borrowings normally start reducing, sometimes quite rapidly, in month 10 for the plan but if the plan is not achieved it all it can be catastrophic. I think we have this situation here and worry that things will turn out much worse than currently being forecast.

 

When I heard the speech I did like the increased capital allowances and carry back of losses but due to the loss sums being restricted these might not amount to that much help. Increasing taxes is inevitable but to tax the entrepreneurs might prove to be not such a smart move.

 

In my mind our two main parties are both bereft of ideas and an election is looming. It’s a bit like the upcoming Newcastle United Vs Middlesbrough game; everything hangs upon it yet neither side has any clue on tactics or how to win the game. In this case they might both end up losers whilst in the election it might be the winner that lives to regret it.     

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